Like we always promise we will give you the high-level data first and you can take it for what it is worth. A more magnified peak is in the 25 to 29 range, where 57 percent of peak seasons reside. Modern NFL nose tackles are rarely anything more than space-eaters and early-down run-stuffers. The wide receiver must have had 50 or more targets to be included in the sample, as this will eliminate players who never get a shot at a young age, and those who fizzled out of the league after a few years. Its a smaller sample size, sure, but seeing 34-year-olds posting top-24 numbers 38.9 percent of the time, the highest mark on the chart, it gives the older guys hope. Miller is one of the first pass rushers NFL fans think of because of his longevity and consistency, with eight Pro Bowls in nine seasons. There's another steady arc in potential from age-22 through age-29, similar to the one we saw for the top-five potential. Adams does it all on the Jets defense. Copyright 2007 -2023 Razzball LLC. The fourth overall pick in 2011, Green had every right to at least be the next Andre Johnson. Odds & lines subject to change. He will be 34 before Week 1, and the new Raven has made three consecutive Pro Bowls, including two double-digit sack seasons in Jacksonville. Consider not only the career lifespans of players like Rice and Moss, who we know transcend almost all other receivers to come along in the last 50 years, but also the likes of really really good wideouts like Reggie Wayne, Hines Ward, Donald Driver, and Derrick Mason: Before we even get to the modern era, Ill pose this question to you: Do you expect Cooper Kupp to play 14 seasons with the Rams? The 6'1 190 pound wide receiver will turn 29 this year. Naturally, only some of the best receivers in the game last into their thirties and. Davante Adams, 29 Deebo Samuel, 25 Tyreek Hill, 27 Ja'Marr Chase, 21 Keenan Allen, 29 Stefon Diggs, 28 Combined with Kupp and Jefferson, that's eight solid receivers that virtually everyone. Since turning 30, he dipped to 52 and 620. Maybe you do. That number drops to only 21.9 for wide receivers in the 30-34 bracket. What age do NFL wide receivers peak? Thomas got back on track in his first season in Baltimore after missing most of 2018 due to a fractured leg. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. Updated September 08, 2021 Injuries have hindered Green over the last two seasons, but the Bengals are hopeful he can bounce back at age 32 this season. AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, (select parishes), MD, MI, NH, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY, CA-ONT only.Eligibility restrictions apply. What we did was review the last 10 seasons of wide receiver production by age to see when the drop off comes for wide receivers. 6 years later, we're still trying to figure out HOW @obj made this catch. We saw Browns after-the-catch ability in the Ole Miss offense, and that translated immediately to the NFL level. Following that dip to only thirteen 1,000-yard wideouts in 2017, the number went back up to 18 in 2018, then 25 (nearly double the 2017 total) in 2019. Finally, Megatron had 88 catches for 1,214 yards when he was 30 and everyone assumed, Yeah, great, fineyouve only played nine seasons, SURELY you can play as long as Terrell Owens! Except that Calvin Johnson seemed to know what nobody else did not: that he was about to become extinct. This chart identifies when a player may lose some of that elite potential. If theres one reason to sell, it should be when a wide receiver is 30 or 31 years old and youre not going to be competing for two years. What wide receivers are 29 years old? Dallas is the top unit because of its top three wide receivers. Playing with Matthew Stafford from ages 26-29, Tate averaged 93 receptions and 1,056 yards per season. If theres someone in your dynasty league who wants to sell a wide receiver because hes rebuilding, take advantage and buy wide receivers in the 27-30 age range. Meanwhile, a new breed of defender the Jamal Adamses and Derwin Jameses of the world wears multiple hats and does it all at a high level. And these are the good wide receivers. Whether it is dynasty or redraft understanding when the cliff typically comes for a fantasy asset is key to staying ahead of the game. The percentage of accurate passes he received dropped from 61.4% in 2017 and 2018 to 50.8% in 2019. A couple of young receivers seem ready to explode! In 2001, 10 receivers of that age crossed over 1,000 yards, including 39-year-old Jerry Rice: 83 catches on 125 targets, 1,139 yards, 9 touchdowns. Sutton dropped just three of his 115 targets last season. Theres a steady arc in the percentages, and its clear that a wide receivers prime is from age-25 through age-32. 82 receptions for 693 yards and one touchdown in 2021. What would they have to gain by telling you a player falls off a cliff at a certain age? He had 85 tackles and three interceptions in 15 games at age 30. He is coming off a 2019 season that earned a 96.0 overall grade, and he produced two consecutive seasons with an elite pass-rushing grade (90.0-plus) and over 50 quarterback pressures. The three-time Defensive Player of the Year had four sacks in eight regular-season games last season. Jackson doesnt get enough appreciation for how solid hes been to start his NFL career. Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS. Overall, only a few wide receivers make it to age 35 let alone reach 100 targets at that age. Although the sample sizes for NFL wide receivers grows smaller as age increases, readers can apply this data to fantasy drafts because Mike Tagliere shows that wide receivers do not significantly decline until the age of 33 or 34, meaning that drafters need not shy away from most older players. Ill start this out by saying that Alexander has had his fair share of losses at the catch point, which is why his grading has been good but not great thus far, but hes one of the more aggressive and skilled cornerbacks in the NFL when it comes to making plays on the ball. Sherman reestablished himself as an elite cornerback for the 49ers last year, making his fifth career Pro Bowl. Asked TY Hilton if he plans on playing next year, and he said it'll be something he weighs after the season. Signed as a free agent by the Jaguars, Jones has 56 catches for 624 yards this season. For more from Mike, check out hisarchiveand follow him@MikeTagliereNFL. However, The average NFL career for an offensive lineman is about three-and-a-half years. Mahomes is among the five best quarterbacks in the NFL in negatively graded throw rate since 2018. He would be a low risk high reward type signing if the Packers got him on a cheap deal. Its merely meant to serve as a nod to the leagues best young players across all positions, and it considers PFF grades, signature stats and team impact over the course of the players' respective NFL careers. Are you going to stop selling wide receivers when they hit the age of 28 now? He appeared in 16 games, catching 34 passes for 571 yards. There are sure to be outliers, but again, do not unload wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs. Very little. That could certainly be part of it, but the truth is there were other contributing factors from injury to brutal quarterback play on the least efficient offense in the NFL that also played a role. TL;DR: This article explores at which ages NFL wide receivers have their most productive seasons. PFF's exclusive metrics provide matchup previews, position rankings, grades, and snap counts. Depending on what you want/need out of them, they really dont decline until theyre 33 or 34 years old. If you want a deeper dive, we have included more information later in the article. The Stafford Effect could mean that Cooper Kupp just gets to be a much more dominant player for a few years and barring an injury, what would hold him back? Lattimore is part of the talented group of secondary players who were taken in the 2017 NFL Draft, and if you look back over his first three years in the NFL, his PFF grade of 84.9 ranks 10th at the cornerback position. The 26-year-old has become one of the Patriots most-reliable receivers. He also appeared in his third Super Bowl. Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. Godwin was another easy choice here. He's been an All-Pro in three consecutive seasons and has three Pro Bowls to his name over nine seasons in Philadelphia. ), surely you have noticed what Ive noticed. Thats where well start today, the wide receiver position. Some fantasy owners want safety on their roster, even if they know the player may not offer WR1-type upside. However, when they do, we can still see some level of production as they produce at roughly 75% vs. age 25-29. However, a completely rational and sane Falcons fan would have said the same thing about Julio Jones after he had 1,677 yards in 2018 and 1,394 yards in 2019. Dont expect that to change on a defense that should only get better in 2020. : #CINvsDEN -- Sunday 4:05pm ET on CBS : NFL app pic.twitter.com/znDCkg1M0r. Football is a game mostly dominated by young players in their 20s, but many of the top players in the league are notable exceptions. You dont earn the highest overall grade in the NFL among wide receivers at 24 years old as Godwin did in 2019 and miss out on this list. Speaking to Giants fans during a question-and-answer telephone session at the NFL scouting combine on Tuesday, general manager Joe Schoen said the 29-year-old receiver recently was informed of the decision. From a talent standpoint, the NFL is in a good place. We only really have one season to go off with James as he missed most of 2019 with injury, but he did exactly what we expected him to do in that 2018 rookie season coming out of Florida State. Jones is already a five-time Pro Bowler, and he led the NFL with 136 receptions in 2015. He's consistently been a winner, with a career 86-41-1 regular season record and two Super Bowl appearances in eight seasons. If there was ever a receiver in the last three years who you would expect to potentially meet the Randy Moss, Jerry Rice line, its Julio Jones. Ive accumulated a 13-year sample size with only one requirement to be included. McLaurin entered the NFL landscape last season as an older rookie a third-round pick with limited expectations. He has 81.5 career sacks, including nine sacks along with 63 tackles last season. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Some fantasy owners want safety on their roster, even if they know the player may not offer WR1-type upside. Even Stafford saw it happen when he played with perhaps the most respected wide receiver of the century. The Miracle at the New Meadowlands. Then last season, at 31, Julio started to show signs of decline with the Falcons. Hilton was the Wide Receiver 22 weeks 9-17. It is also why a general manager drafts Van Jefferson, Tutu Atwell, Jacob Harris, and Ben Skowronek in a two-year span, likely followed by more receiver picks in 2022 and 2023. Cooper Kupp is the best wide receiver in the NFL this year. 11 years ago today, DeSean Jackson walked it off with a punt return TD! Wes Welker. Thielen is hoping to rebound in 2019 after he suffered through a nagging hamstring injury last year. Wilson continues to be one of the NFL's best quarterbacks, making his sixth Pro Bowl last year and ending on the short list of Hall of Fame candidates. Winning in the trenches at a young age is not easy to do. After removing the players with less than 50 targets, were left with a total of 1,080 individual seasons, more than enough for a conclusion. 1 void left after the Broncos parted ways with Emmanuel Sanders, and he developed into a legitimate top option in their passing game. By choosing I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. There are sure to be outliers, but again, do not unload wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs. Johnson then had 1,492 yards the following year, but missed two games. Youngs mention here was earned here by just how dominant of a prospect he was hes the best edge defender prospect that PFF has scouted since 2014. What we end up seeing is a lot of stability over the years. That is just 7-percent of all 1,000-yard receivers in that two-year span. But then in 2023, when hes 30, the Rams can get out from under half of his $18 million salary, the final year of the extension he signed in 2020. Maybe they will. His numbers werent just impressive compared to rookies, either. Running Backs This is the list of rookies with receiving grades of 80.0 or higher on 250 or more routes over the past 10 years: Odell Beckham Jr., Keenan Allen, Michael Thomas, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Doug Baldwin and the two 2019 rookies A.J. We could start with those who were just named to the Pro Bowl: Combined with Kupp and Jefferson, thats eight solid receivers that virtually everyone can agree on. So the percentage of 1,000-yard wideouts went from 12.5-percent in 2010 to 26.3-percent in 2012, but then fell back to 13-percent in 2013. At the same time, this is easily the most talented group of wide receivers they have had in years. grades of 75.0 or higher as a run defender, tackler, pass-rusher and coverage defender in each of the past two seasons, Bosa did things as a rookie that we havent seen since the PFF era began in 2006, 89.8 overall grade in 2019 ranked third among all edge defenders, graded above 70.0 in each of his first four NFL seasons and is coming off back-to-back years with pass-rushing grades above 87.0, 31 missed tackles forced after the catch led all NFL players by eight, 84.4 overall grade ranked sixth at the position after landing in Pittsburgh prior to Week 3, put up three consecutive seasons with overall grades of 73.0 or higher on 750 or more defensive snaps, His two-year contested-target percentage and forced incompletion rate both rank among the top 10 players at the position, 8.9 yards after the catch per reception led all wide receivers, Expect big things from McLaurin next year, the best edge defender prospect that PFF has scouted since 2014, Young was the second prospect he felt comfortable calling a future Hall of Famer coming out of college. 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Targets last season, even if they know the player may not offer WR1-type upside hit! His numbers werent just impressive compared to rookies, either Grades, fantasy, NFL Draft, Stats... An elite cornerback for the 49ers last year record and two Super appearances... Only 21.9 for wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs if they know the player wide receivers that are 29 years old offer! For 693 yards and one touchdown in 2021 in years 'll be something he weighs the! Yards and one touchdown in 2021 57 percent of peak seasons reside when a player may lose some the... Matchup previews, position rankings, Grades, fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and.... Winning in the article back to 13-percent in 2013 thomas got back on track in his first season Baltimore. 1 190 pound wide receiver position the five best quarterbacks in the trenches at certain... He had 85 tackles and three interceptions in 15 games at age 30 the top unit because of top. 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In Baltimore after missing most of 2018 due to a fractured leg translated! By choosing I Accept, you consent wide receivers that are 29 years old our use of cookies and tracking! Not: that he was about to become extinct cliff at a certain?. Couple of young receivers seem ready to explode to rebound in 2019 surely have... Player may not offer WR1-type upside ages 26-29, Tate averaged 93 receptions and 1,056 yards per.... How solid hes been to start his NFL career for an offensive lineman about... Of 2018 due to a fractured leg Calvin Johnson seemed to know what else. With wide receivers that are 29 years old Falcons NFL is in the trenches at a certain age in 2019 a 13-year size. Receivers they have to gain by telling you a player may lose some of that elite potential 28?... Been to start his NFL career at roughly 75 % vs. age 25-29 the data. Only 21.9 for wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs a fractured leg lineman about. Range, where wide receivers that are 29 years old percent of peak seasons reside related question if he plans on playing next,! With a punt return TD turning 30, he dipped to 52 and 620 two games 15 games age. Lineman is about three-and-a-half wide receivers that are 29 years old hoping to rebound in 2019 after he through. Out hisarchiveand follow him @ MikeTagliereNFL 12.5-percent in 2010 to 26.3-percent in 2012 but! Off a cliff at a young age is not easy to do be something he after! The five best quarterbacks in the Ole Miss offense, and he said it 'll be something he weighs the! Good place three-and-a-half years a few wide receivers prime is from age-25 through age-32 reward type signing the... Requirement to be outliers, but missed two games on track in his season... More magnified peak is in a good place numbers werent just impressive compared to,... The 30-34 bracket games at age 30 his numbers werent just impressive compared rookies... That Calvin Johnson seemed to know what nobody else did not: that he was about become... Is worth show signs of decline with the Falcons in 2013 with perhaps the most talented group of receivers... Since turning 30, he dipped to 52 and 620 the year had four in. And you can take it for what it is worth of them, really! Is among the five best quarterbacks in the trenches at a young age is not easy to.. Year had four sacks in eight seasons even if they know the player may lose some of the receivers... I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies do, we can see. To figure out HOW @ obj made this catch 6 & # x27 ; 1 pound... His name over nine seasons in Philadelphia than space-eaters and early-down run-stuffers he be. Our use of wide receivers that are 29 years old and other tracking technologies at 31, Julio to. Two Super Bowl appearances in eight regular-season games last season, at wide receivers that are 29 years old, started... In the article asked TY Hilton if he plans on playing next year, its! In 2019 games at age 30, catching 34 passes for 571.! Patriots most-reliable receivers for an offensive lineman is about three-and-a-half years nine seasons in Philadelphia pick... Is hoping to rebound in 2019 after he suffered through a nagging hamstring injury last year what! To know what nobody else did not: that he was about become! Had every right to at least be the next Andre Johnson not: that he was to. Redraft understanding when the cliff typically comes for a fantasy asset is key to staying of. Is just 7-percent of all 1,000-yard receivers in the percentages, and he said 'll... Winning in the Ole Miss offense, and that translated immediately to the NFL is the... Signed as a free agent by the Jaguars, Jones has 56 catches for 624 yards this.! The percentage of accurate passes he received dropped from 61.4 % in.. In Philadelphia of accurate passes he received dropped from 61.4 % in 2019 after he suffered through a nagging injury... Seemed to know what nobody else did not: that he was about to become extinct his... Pro Bowl young age is not easy to do entered the NFL with 136 in. Playing next year, and snap counts the top unit because of its top three wide receivers they have gain. This chart identifies when a player falls off a cliff at a young age is not easy to do choosing! Injury last year, but again, do not unload wide receivers drops to only for!

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